Chasing A Flush on the Net

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Chasing a flush online – Sometimes the numbers just don’t add up!

There’s an age old debate in poker – really should you chase a flush? Initial of all we need to define what we imply here by "chasing a flush online."

Chasing anything in Texas hold’em poker could be the practice of betting to stay in a hands in the hope which you will generate a greater hands, even though you may have absolutely nothing at the time. So chasing a flush means betting that you will receive the card or card that you should total your flush hand to the turn or river. You cannot chase a flush before the flop because at that time you only have two cards so the flush isn’t on.

So let’s say you happen to be betting one of the massive poker web sites on line, you’ve been dealt the Ace and nine of spades and you’ve paid to see the flop.

The flop is 2s seven spades Kd and one of your competitors comes out gambling strongly with a fair sized increase, what do you do?

Initially of all ask yourself what kind of hands you’re up against. The possibilities are triples, one more flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you happen to be only succeeding in opposition to the bluff with your Ace. To the other hand if you hit a spade in the last two cards you have the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or 4 of a kind.

About the face of it you may assume that statistically you’ve about a 50-50 opportunity of hitting your spade, after all there is two cards to arrive and 4 suits so there must be about a half opportunity, appropriate?


You already have two of the spades in your hand and there’s an additional two showing about the table, so you know five cards and four of them are spades. That indicates you have 9 spades left available out of the 47 cards you haven’t seen, which is only a forty two % opportunity of catching your flush.

When you do wager within the turn and don’t make your flush, what do you do then? You’ve got possibly now become pot-committed, you’ve got put so a lot into the pot that you may as nicely bet again about the river unless there is a big raise or all-in in opposition to you, except now your chances of producing the flush have dropped dramatically to only twenty one percent.

But what of that other factor, the mysterious world wide web poker syndrome? What I mean by which is though you statistically have a forty two per-cent probability of making a flush, is that what in fact occurs in reality? In case you bet the identical hands in the same on-line poker table one hundred occasions would you receive a flush forty two instances? From my personal experience I doubt it. Flushes seem to come around a lot much less usually than 42 out of one hundred instances!

That’s just my own opinion and I’m positive the poker sites would tell you a different story, but the way I see it is 42 % will be the very Very best you happen to be ever going to obtain and you may perhaps well have a lot much less likelihood than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on the net is a quite risky method that sucks you in and over commits you, with out giving you enough of a chance of pulling out the succeeding hand.

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